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Future Babble - by Daniel Gardner (Paperback)

Future Babble - by  Daniel Gardner (Paperback) - image 1 of 1
Future Babble - by  Daniel Gardner (Paperback) - image 1 of 1
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About this item

Specifications

Number of Pages: 320

Genre: Psychology

Format: Paperback

Publisher: Plume Books

Age Range: Teen

Author: Daniel Gardner

Language: English

Street Date: February 28, 2012
TCIN: 77263084
UPC: 9780452297579
Item Number (DPCI): 247-53-1527

Description

New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble

"Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them."--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works

We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.

Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.

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