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Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases (Hardcover)
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The contributions by epidemic modeling experts describe how mathematical models and statistical forecasting are created to capture the most important aspects of an emerging epidemic.Readers will discover a broad range of approaches to address questions, such as
- Can we control Ebola via ring vaccination strategies?
- How quickly should we detect Ebola cases to ensure epidemic control?
- What is the likelihood that an Ebola epidemic in West Africa leads to secondary outbreaks in other parts of the world?
- When does it matter to incorporate the role of disease-induced mortality on epidemic models?
- What is the role of behavior changes on Ebola dynamics?
- How can we better understand the control of cholera or Ebola using optimal control theory?
- How should a population be structured in order to mimic the transmission dynamics of diseases such as chlamydia, Ebola, or cholera?
- How can we objectively determine the end of an epidemic?
- How can we use metapopulation models to understand the role of movement restrictions and migration patterns on the spread of infectious diseases?
- How can we capture the impact of household transmission using compartmental epidemic models?
- How could behavior-dependent vaccination affect the dynamical outcomes of epidemic models?
This book will be of interest to researchers in the field of mathematical epidemiology, as well as public health workers.