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Historical Dynamics - (Princeton Studies in Complexity) by Peter Turchin (Paperback)

Name: Historical Dynamics - (Princeton Studies in Complexity) by Peter Turchin (Paperback)
Brand: Princeton University Press
SKU: 83596650
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Many historical processes are dynamic.
About the Author: Peter Turchin is Professor of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology at the University of Connecticut.
264 Pages
Social Science, Anthropology
Series Name: Princeton Studies in Complexity

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Book Synopsis

Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history.

Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.

From the Back Cover

"An important, original, and timely book--richly detailed and beautifully thought out."--Jack A. Goldstone, University of California, Davis

"This book is clearly the state of the art in formal modeling and computer simulation of long-term historical changes in territorial states. Elegantly formulated and clearly written, it takes an important topic to a new level of formal sophistication."--Randall Collins, University of Pennsylvania

Review Quotes

"An important, original, and timely book--richly detailed and beautifully thought out."--Jack A. Goldstone, University of California, Davis

"This book is clearly the state of the art in formal modeling and computer simulation of long-term historical changes in territorial states. Elegantly formulated and clearly written, it takes an important topic to a new level of formal sophistication."--Randall Collins, University of Pennsylvania

About the Author

Peter Turchin is Professor of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology at the University of Connecticut. He is the author of Quantitative Analysis of Movement and Complex Population Dynamics (Princeton).

Specifications

Dimensions (Overall): 9.21 Inches (H) x 6.14 Inches (W) x .59 Inches (D)

Weight: .89 Pounds

Suggested Age: 22 Years and Up

Number of Pages: 264

Genre: Social Science

Sub-Genre: Anthropology

Series Title: Princeton Studies in Complexity

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Format: Paperback

Author: Peter Turchin

Language: English

Street Date: May 22, 2018

TCIN: 83596650

UPC: 9780691180779

Item Number (DPCI): 247-80-5590

Origin: Made in the USA or Imported

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Estimated ship dimensions: 0.59 inches length x 6.14 inches width x 9.21 inches height

Estimated ship weight: 0.89 pounds

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