Contemporary Intelligence Warning Cases - (Intelligence, Surveillance and Secret Warfare) by Bjørn Elias Mikalsen Grønning & Stig Stenslie

About the Book

What can intelligence producers and users learn from contemporary intelligence warning cases to anticipate, prepare for, mitigate and prevent future security challenges?

Book Synopsis

Contemporary Intelligence Warning Cases presents lessons learned and recommendations for producers and users of intelligence warning in their joint venture to anticipate, prepare for, mitigate, and prevent future threats to national security.

It presents and synthesizes the findings of 16 contemporary intelligence warning case studies undertaken by leading intelligence scholars and former intelligence practitioners. It is the first multi-case study of intelligence warning and adopts a uniquely broad and contemporary approach to the phenomenon, featuring both successful and failed cases. Consistent with the increasing complexity of intelligence problems and scope of intelligence services, it ranges from traditional warning problems such as invasions and wars, through terrorist attacks, to threats that lie beyond the traditional core scope of intelligence services such as pandemics, financial crises, climate change, strategic acquisitions and attacks on cultural heritage.

Review Quotes

An excellent addition to the scholarly literature on warning and deserves a place in organizational and personal libraries. It performs an essential service, filling gaps in the case study literature by adding a series of contemporary cases explored from various intellectual and national perspectives and touching on topics not commonly associated with intelligence warning.--Johnathan Proctor "Studies in Intelligence"

Chock full of teachable lessons grounded in historical context and is particularly valuable for consumers of intelligence to help them understand that whether they have gotten the detailed tactical warning they'd prefer or not, their lot in life is to now make hard decisions under conditions of uncertainty and to understand that making no decision in the face of warning because of the absence of a more complete picture is a decision.--J. Paul Pope "International Journal of Intelligence and Counter Intelligence"

This book is an important contribution to the study of intelligence warning. The wide selection of case studies is especially valuable, including not only cases of traditional warning such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but also non-traditional warning of threats such as natural disasters, pandemics, and financial crises.--Erik J. Dahl, Naval Postgraduate School